All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Saturday's top batter prop bets
Vinnie Pasquantino | OVER 0.5 HR (+810)
Projection: 13% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.94 EV
Seiya Suzuki | OVER 0.5 HR (+439)
Projection: 20% chance of this bet hitting, with a $7.75 EV.
Manny Machado | OVER 0.5 RBI (+203)
Projection: 40% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.96 EV
Nolan Gorman | UNDER 0.5 H (-106)
Projection: 58% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.74 EV
Alec Burleson | UNDER 1.5 TB (-130)
Projection: 63% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.60 EV
Saturday's top pitcher prop bets
Kade Anderson | UNDER 4.5 K (+108)
Projection: 64% chance of this bet hitting, with a $33.97 EV
Martin Perez | OVER 4.5 K (+121)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $26.10 EV
Kyle Leahy | OVER 4.5 K (+136)
Projection: 52% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.41 EV
Daniel Lynch IV | UNDER 1.5 ER (+115)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.91 EV
Cal Quantrill | UNDER 2.5 ER (-116)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.07 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
New York Mets Team Total Under:
The Mets have gone under their team total in five straight games. (+5.10 Units / 86% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -145
Kansas City Royals Moneyline:
A bet on the Royals moneyline has hit in nine of their last 10 games. (9-1) (+8.30 Units / 68% ROI). Current odds: +138
Toronto Blue Jays Team Total Under:
The Blue Jays have gone under their team total in 15 of their last 20 home games. (+9.25 Units / 38% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ +100
Los Angeles Dodgers 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total Over:
The Dodgers have gone over their first five innings team total in eight of their last 10 games. (+6.15 Units / 55% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ +124
Boston Red Sox Team Total Over:
The Red Sox have gone over their team total in 11 of their last 15 games. (+6.95 Units / 39% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ -130