The Dallas Cowboys and Philadelphia Eagles both enter Monday night at 2-4 and are looking to get their offenses back on track.
Dallas has scored just 29 total points over its past two games, while Philadelphia has lost four straight and is without Jalen Hurts for the rest of the season. Tanner McKee attempted 45 passes against Carolina last week, but the Eagles managed only 222 total yards. Philadelphia will also be without wide receivers DeVonta Smith and Dontayvion Wicks, leaving tight end Dallas Goedert and rookie wideout Makai Lemon with bigger roles in the passing game. Saquon Barkley's return should help against a Cowboys defense allowing a league-high 149.8 rushing yards per game.
Dallas has its own problems. Dak Prescott attempted 54 passes against Green Bay last week, and the Cowboys have struggled to get Javonte Williams going on the ground. CeeDee Lamb remains Prescott's top target, but George Pickens and Ryan Flournoy could also find opportunities against an Eagles secondary dealing with injuries. Philadelphia has struggled against the pass, while Dallas ranks near the bottom of the league in several defensive categories. Both offenses have favorable matchups, but neither has played particularly well lately.
Betting outlook
Philadelphia getting 4.5 points at home is appealing, despite the injuries. Dallas hasn't played well enough recently to inspire much confidence as a road favorite. Prescott has thrown four interceptions over his past two games, and the Cowboys have struggled to sustain drives. McKee isn't Hurts, but he's facing a Dallas defense that is allowing 26.5 points and 382.5 yards per game. With Barkley back, Philadelphia could have success running the football and controlling possession.
I also like the under at 43.5 points. Both offenses have struggled lately. Vic Fangio's familiarity with Dallas could help limit explosive plays, while Philadelphia's injuries at wide receiver leave McKee with fewer options. For player props, Lamb's target volume makes him appealing against an Eagles secondary that has struggled against opposing wide receivers. Goedert is another player I'm targeting after he caught six passes on eight targets from McKee last week.
Notable player props, bets
Note: Odds by DraftKings
and subject to change.
Saquon Barkley anytime touchdown (+100)
Barkley missed the past two games with a hamstring injury. He couldn't ask for a much better matchup in his return. The Cowboys allow the most rushing yards per game and have given up seven rushing touchdowns. Dameon Pierce ran for a score last week against Carolina, but Barkley should handle the goal-line carries tonight. With McKee at quarterback and Philadelphia missing two of its top receivers, Barkley should be a big part of the Eagles' offensive game plan.
CeeDee Lamb 80+ receiving yards (-108)
Lamb has caught 48 passes for 577 yards through six games and has seen 44 targets over his past three, including a season-high 18 against Green Bay. He finished with nine receptions for 70 yards last week. The Eagles are allowing more than 180 receiving yards per game to wide receivers and rank 26th in passing yards allowed per game (244.5). Lamb has reached 80 receiving yards in three of six games and has a good chance of doing it again given his target share and the matchup.
Dallas Goedert 6+ receptions (+112)
Goedert has caught six passes in two consecutive games, including six for 61 yards on eight targets last week. His eight targets rank second on the team behind Smith, who won't be in the lineup. The Cowboys are allowing 232.7 passing yards per game, which ranks 23rd in the league. With Philadelphia missing two of its top receivers, Goedert should see ample targets from McKee.