All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Sunday's top batter prop bets
Jonah Heim | OVER 0.5 HR (+790)
Projection: 15% chance of this bet hitting, with a $30.83 EV
Cedric Mullins | OVER 0.5 HR (+910)
Projection: 13% chance of this bet hitting, with a $32.82 EV
Zack Gelof | OVER 0.5 RBI (+211)
Projection: 40% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.00 EV
Zack Gelof | OVER 1.5 TB (+155)
Projection: 46% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.22 EV
Lawrence Butler | OVER 0.5 RBI (+217)
Projection: 37% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.70 EV
Sunday's top pitcher prop bets
Jacob Misiorowski | OVER 6.5 K (-116)
Projection: 76% chance of this bet hitting, with a $47.30 EV
Parker Messick | OVER 3.5 K (-148)
Projection: 78% chance of this bet hitting, with a $45.59 EV
MacKenzie Gore | OVER 4.5 K (+112)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $29.36 EV
Nick Martinez | UNDER 3.5 K (+123)
Projection: 54% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.17 EV
Kyle Freeland | OVER 4.5 K (+119)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.53 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Athletics Game Total OVER:
Games at Sutter Health Park have gone over this total eight straight times. (+8.00 Units / 92% ROI). Current odds: 9.5 @ +100
San Diego Padres Team Total OVER:
The Padres have gone over this total seven straight times at home. (+7.10 Units / 85% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ -120
Cincinnati Reds Run Line:
Cincinnati has won this bet in six consecutive road contests. (+6.00 Units / 78% ROI). Current odds: 1 @ +101
Cleveland Guardians Run Line:
Cleveland has won this bet in six consecutive road contests. (+6.75 Units / 68% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ -123