All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Sunday's top batter prop bets
J.P. Crawford | OVER 0.5 HR (+760)
Projection: 14% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.70 EV
Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .343.
Joshua Baez | OVER 0.5 HR (+720)
Projection: 14% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.41 EV
Hector Rodriguez | OVER 1.5 TB (+254)
Projection: 35% chance of this bet hitting, with a $24.50 EV
Trea Turner | OVER 0.5 RBI (+208)
Projection: 40% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.28 EV
Bo Bichette | OVER 0.5 RBI (+264)
Projection: 33% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.78 EV
Sunday's top pitcher prop bets
Chase Burns | UNDER 3.5 K (+121)
Projection: 78% chance of this bet hitting, with a $71.69 EV
Cal Quantrill | UNDER 4.5 K (-154)
Projection: 76% chance of this bet hitting, with a $38.89 EV
Jackson Jobe | OVER 4.5 K (+123)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.18 EV
Grayson Rodriguez | UNDER 4.5 K (+115)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.28 EV
Cam Schlittler | UNDER 7.5 K (-156)
Projection: 71% chance of this bet hitting, with a $26.63 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
New York Mets Team Total OVER:
The Mets have gone over this total in six consecutive road games. (+6.10 Units / 87% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ +110
Los Angeles Dodgers 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total UNDER:
The Dodgers have gone under this total six straight times on the road. (+6.25 Units / 74% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ -140
San Diego Padres Moneyline:
San Diego is looking to extend its six-game winning streak. (+6.00 Units / 58% ROI). Current odds: -132
Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline:
Milwaukee is seeking to close out a perfect six-game homestand. (+5.00 Units / 58% ROI). Current odds: -206