All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Saturday's top batter prop bets
Riley Greene | OVER 0.5 HR (+306)
Projection: 28% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.67 EV
Dylan Crews | OVER 0.5 RBI (+191)
Projection: 40% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.27 EV
Wyatt Langford | OVER 0.5 HR (+411)
Projection: 22% chance of this bet hitting, with a $9.92 EV
Chandler Simpson | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (-105)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.24 EV
Jacob Wilson | UNDER 1.5 TB (-114)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.08 EV
Saturday's top pitcher prop bets
Jose Soriano | UNDER 2.5 ER (-130)
Projection: 71% chance of this bet hitting, with a $32.29 EV
Andrew Abbott | OVER 5.5 K (+120)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.70 EV
Max Fried | UNDER 5.5 K (-152)
Projection: 69% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.64 EV
David Peterson | OVER 4.5 K (-161)
Projection: 69% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.30 EV
Ronel Blanco | OVER 5.5 K (+119)
Projection: 51% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.16 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top Betting Trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Toronto Blue Jays Team Total Under:
The Blue Jays have gone under their team total in eight straight home games. (+8.30 Units / 90% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -125
Los Angeles Dodgers 1st 5 innings (F5) Moneyline:
The Dodgers have covered the first-five-inning moneyline in six straight games. (+6.00 Units / 61% ROI). Current odds: -180
Texas Rangers Game Total Over:
The game total has hit the over in 16 of the Rangers' last 20 games. (+11.50 Units / 51% ROI). Current odds: 8.5 @ -104
New York Mets Game Total Under:
The under on Mets game totals is 11-3-1 over their last 15 matchups. (+7.80 Units / 49% ROI). Current odds: 9 @ -114
Chicago Cubs Run Line:
The Cubs have covered the run line in 13 of their last 20 games. (+8.55 Units / 37% ROI). Current odds: 1 @ -168