All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Saturday's top batter prop bets
Curtis Mead | OVER 0.5 HR (+620)
Projection: 18% chance of this bet hitting, with a $27.15 EV
Daulton Varsho | OVER 0.5 HR (+630)
Projection: 17% chance of this bet hitting, with a $26.80 EV
Casey Schmitt | OVER 0.5 RBI (+238)
Projection: 36% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.68 EV
Bryce Eldridge | OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+127)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.38 EV
Ryan Kreidler | UNDER 0.5 H (+104)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.30 EV
Saturday's top pitcher prop bets
Zack Littell | UNDER 2.5 K (+123)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.26 EV
Shane Drohan | UNDER 4.5 K (+100)
Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.84 EV
Davis Martin | UNDER 3.5 K (+126)
Projection: 52% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.86 EV
Taj Bradley | UNDER 5.5 K (+122)
Projection: 51% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.20 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action. Early in the season, these trends may extend back to last year's play.
Boston Red Sox Moneyline:
The Red Sox have won 11 straight games. (+11.40 Units / 84% ROI). Current odds: -117
New York Yankees Team Total Under:
The Yankees have gone under their team total in 11 straight home games. (+11.15 Units / 81% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -145
Texas Rangers Game Total Over:
Eight straight Rangers games have gone over the total. (+8.00 Units / 88% ROI). Current odds: 9 @ -105
Toronto Blue Jays 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total Over:
Toronto has gone over the first five innings total in six straight games. (+6.15 Units / 84% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ +120
Minnesota Twins Game Total Under:
Five straight Twins games have gone under the total. (+5.00 Units / 94% ROI). Current odds: 9 @ -110