All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Tuesday's top batter prop bets
Jonah Heim | OVER 0.5 HR (+630)
Projection: 14% chance of this bet hitting, with a $2.42 EV
Teoscar Hernandez | OVER 0.5 RBI (+238)
Projection: 35% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.29 EV
Tommy Pham | UNDER 0.5 H (+167)
Projection: 45% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.30 EV
Luis Lara | OVER 0.5 H (-113)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.93 EV
Hao-Yu Lee | UNDER 0.5 H (+157)
Projection: 46% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.60 EV
Tuesday's top pitcher prop bets
Janson Junk | OVER 3.5 K (+135)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $30.59 EV
MacKenzie Gore | OVER 4.5 K (+120)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $26.43 EV
Anthony Kay | OVER 3.5 K (+104)
Projection: 58% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.91 EV
Shota Imanaga | OVER 5.5 K (+102)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.52 EV
Zack Wheeler | UNDER 1.5 ER (+104)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.22 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
San Diego Padres Game Total OVER:
Games involving the Padres have gone over this total 12 straight times. (+12.00 Units / 90% ROI). Current odds: 8 @ -115
Chicago White Sox 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total OVER:
The White Sox have gone over this total in six consecutive contests. (+6.65 Units / 92% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ -160
Chicago Cubs 1st 5 innings (F5) Run Line:
The Cubs have won this bet seven straight times at Wrigley Field. (+7.05 Units / 84% ROI). Current odds: -0.5 @ -125
Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline:
The Dodgers are looking to extend their 10-game home winning streak. (+10.00 Units / 37% ROI). Current odds: -120
