All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Tuesday's top batter prop bets
Eugenio Suarez | OVER 0.5 HR (+464)
Projection: 20% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.63 EV
Brett Baty | OVER 0.5 HR (+1000)
Projection: 10% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.96 EV
Julio Rodriguez | OVER 0.5 RBI (+231)
Projection: 36% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.79 EV
Bryan Reynolds | OVER 0.5 RBI (+223)
Projection: 36% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.83 EV
Mauricio Dubon | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+121)
Projection: 52% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.48 EV
Tuesday's top pitcher prop bets
Jesus Luzardo | UNDER 5.5 K (+125)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $26.45 EV
Nick Lodolo | OVER 4.5 K (+113)
Projection: 58% chance of this bet hitting, with a $24.20 EV
Matthew Boyd | OVER 4.5 K (+106)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.74 EV
Eric Lauer | UNDER 4.5 K (-168)
Projection: 73% chance of this bet hitting, with a $27.91 EV
Gerrit Cole | UNDER 6.5 K (-118)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.02 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Kansas City Royals Moneyline:
The Royals are seeking to extend their seven-game home winning streak. (+7.00 Units / 70% ROI). Current odds: -120
Colorado Rockies Team Total UNDER:
Colorado has gone under this total in five straight games at Coors Field. (+5.10 Units / 94% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ +100
Atlanta Braves Team Total UNDER:
The Braves have been under this total 14 times in their last 15 road contests. (+12.95 Units / 71% ROI). Current odds: 5.5 @ -115
Arizona Diamondbacks 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total UNDER:
Arizona has been under this total for six straight games at Chase Field. (+6.70 Units / 104% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ -110
