MLB betting tips for Wednesday: Will Dodgers' recharge of Teoscar Hernandez work?

The Dodgers gave slumping Teoscar Hernandez a day off on Tuesday. Will he return refreshed? Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images

All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.

Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.


Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz


Wednesday's top batter prop bets

Liam Hicks | OVER 0.5 HR (+1140)
Projection: 9% chance of this bet hitting, with a $6.89 EV

Teoscar Hernandez | OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+114)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.30 EV

Teoscar Hernandez | OVER 1.5 TB (+170)
Projection: 43% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.42 EV

Ildemaro Vargas | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+121)
Projection: 51% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.89 EV

Jung Hoo Lee | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+105)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.77 EV

Wednesday's top pitcher prop bets

Michael McGreevy | UNDER 4.5 K (-116)
Projection: 63% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.37 EV

Robert Stock | UNDER 4.5 K (-121)
Projection: 63% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.08 EV

Sean Burke | UNDER 6.5 K (-160)
Projection: 69% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.26 EV

Kyle Bradish | OVER 4.5 K (-113)
Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.29 EV

Grayson Rodriguez | OVER 3.5 K (-170)
Projection: 70% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.92 EV

THE BAT X: Team Projections

Top betting trends

Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.

Baltimore Orioles Team Total OVER
Baltimore has gone over this total in nine consecutive road games. (+9.20 Units / 93% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ +114

Kansas City Royals Moneyline
Kansas City is seeking to extend its current nine-game win streak. (+9.15 Units / 75% ROI). Current odds: +118

San Francisco Giants 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total OVER
The Giants have gone over this total in six straight games. (+6.50 Units / 97% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ -145

Los Angeles Dodgers 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total OVER
The Dodgers have gone over this total in seven straight games. (+7.05 Units / 87% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ +110