All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Friday's top batter prop bets
Jake Cronenworth | OVER 0.5 HR (+1160)
Projection: 9% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.27 EV
Mike Yastrzemski | OVER 0.5 HR (+690)
Projection: 14% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.50 EV
Tyler O'Neill | OVER 0.5 RBI (+210)
Projection: 38% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.48 EV
Tyler Locklear | OVER 0.5 RBI (+368)
Projection: 26% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.00 EV
Michael Massey | UNDER 0.5 H (+161)
Projection: 44% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.78 EV
Friday's top pitcher prop bets
Kumar Rocker | UNDER 4.5 K (-109)
Projection: 66% chance of this bet hitting, with a $29.96 EV
Chris Sale | UNDER 6.5 K (+110)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $26.08 EV
Yoshinobu Yamamoto | UNDER 1.5 ER (+110)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.92 EV
Robert Stock | OVER 2.5 ER (+118)
Projection: 50% chance of this bet hitting, with a $8.85 EV
Andrew Alvarez | UNDER 2.5 ER (-154)
Projection: 66% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.61 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Tampa Bay Rays Team Total UNDER:
Tampa Bay has been under this total in eight straight home games. (+8.25 Units / 85% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -135
Washington Nationals 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total OVER:
The Nationals have been over this total in seven consecutive games. (+7.05 Units / 80% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ +124
San Francisco Giants 1st 5 innings (F5) Run Line:
The Giants have won this bet in seven straight games at Oracle Park. (+7.00 Units / 78% ROI). Current odds: -0.5 @ +114
New York Yankees 1st 5 innings (F5) Run Line:
The Yankees have won this bet in six consecutive road contests. (+6.25 Units / 86% ROI). Current odds: -0.5 @ -110