All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Monday's top batter prop bets
Taylor Walls | OVER 0.5 HR (+1080)
Projection: 10% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.60 EV
Junior Caminero | OVER 0.5 HR (+308)
Projection: 30% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.58 EV
Alec Burleson | OVER 0.5 RBI (+221)
Projection: 37% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.73 EV
Marcell Ozuna | OVER 0.5 RBI (+285)
Projection: 31% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.00 EV
Jung Hoo Lee | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+106)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.95 EV
Monday's top pitcher prop bets
Cam Schlittler | UNDER 7.5 K (-136)
Projection: 70% chance of this bet hitting, with a $30.21 EV
Ian Seymour | OVER 2.5 ER (-107)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.17 EV
Michael King | UNDER 4.5 K (-112)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.18 EV
Matthew Boyd | OVER 4.5 K (-158)
Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.34 EV
Aaron Nola | OVER 5.5 K (+109)
Projection: 52% chance of this bet hitting, with a $7.74 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Houston Astros Run Line:
Houston has won this bet in six consecutive home games. (+8.50 Units / 121% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ +102
St. Louis Cardinals 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total UNDER:
The Cardinals have gone under this total in 10 straight contests. (+10.30 Units / 81% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ -135
Tampa Bay Rays Team Total UNDER:
The Rays have gone under this total in eight consecutive games. (+8.25 Units / 85% ROI). Current odds: 6.5 @ -120
Washington Nationals Team Total UNDER:
Washington has gone under this total five straight times. (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -135
