MLB betting tips for Wednesday: Time for JJ Bleday to get back on track?

The Reds hope that today's the day JJ Bleday breaks out of his current slump. Katie Stratman-Imagn Images

All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.

Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.


Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz


Wednesday's top batter prop bets

Jose Altuve | OVER 0.5 HR (+770)
Projection: 14% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.02 EV

JJ Bleday | OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+123)
Projection: 54% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.64 EV

JJ Bleday | OVER 0.5 HR (+504)
Projection: 19% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.12 EV

Eugenio Suarez | OVER 0.5 RBI (+224)
Projection: 37% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.68 EV

Samuel Basallo | UNDER 0.5 H (+160)
Projection: 44% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.14 EV

Wednesday's top pitcher prop bets

Gage Jump | UNDER 2.5 ER (+103)
Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $35.64 EV

Kyle Freeland | OVER 4.5 K (+118)
Projection: 51% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.03 EV

Jose Soriano | UNDER 2.5 ER (-136)
Projection: 64% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.00 EV

Tanner Bibee | UNDER 5.5 K (-123)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.47 EV

Griffin Jax | OVER 4.5 K (-123)
Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $8.55 EV

THE BAT X: Team Projections

Top betting trends

Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.

Seattle Mariners Team Total UNDER:
Seattle has gone under this total in nine consecutive games. (+9.25 Units / 88% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ -105

Arizona Diamondbacks Game Total UNDER:
Games involving the Diamondbacks have gone under this total seven straight times on the road. (+7.00 Units / 91% ROI). Current odds: 9 @ -112

St. Louis Cardinals Game Total UNDER:
Games at Busch Stadium have gone under this total six times in a row. (+6.00 Units / 89% ROI). Current odds: 9 @ -112

Colorado Rockies Team Total UNDER:
The Rockies have gone under this total in eight of their last 10 games at Coors Field. (+6.00 Units / 54% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -115