All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Odds by DraftKings
and subject to change.
Wednesday's top batter prop bets
Kevin McGonigle | OVER 0.5 HR (+486)
Projection: 19% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.81 EV
Gunnar Henderson | OVER 0.5 RBI (+219)
Projection: 38% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.30 EV
Eugenio Suarez | OVER 0.5 RBI (+279)
Projection: 32% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.41 EV
Kyle Schwarber | UNDER 0.5 H (+156)
Projection: 48% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.04 EV
Luis Arraez | UNDER 1.5 TB (-136)
Projection: 66% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.07 EV
Wednesday's top pitcher prop bets
Zack Wheeler | UNDER 6.5 K (-123)
Projection: 65% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.30 EV
Ryan Gusto | UNDER 3.5 K (-120)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.24 EV
Logan Henderson | UNDER 6.5 K (-152)
Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.34 EV
Jake Bennett | UNDER 2.5 ER (-144)
Projection: 65% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.38 EV
Robert Stock | OVER 2.5 ER (+125)
Projection: 49% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.14 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Kansas City Royals Game Total Under:
A bet on the under has won in nine straight Royals games. (+9.00 Units / 89% ROI). Current odds: 9 @ -114
Detroit Tigers Team Total Over:
The Tigers have hit their over in six straight games. (+6.10 Units / 90% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ -140
Milwaukee Brewers 1st 5 innings (F5) Moneyline:
The Brewers have led after five innings in five straight games. (+5.00 Units / 54% ROI). Current odds: -145
Arizona Diamondbacks 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total Under:
This bet has won in 16 of past 20 games. (+11.50 Units / 44% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ -140