All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Thursday's top batter prop bets
Kazuma Okamoto | OVER 0.5 HR (+524)
Projection: 17% chance of this bet hitting, with a $8.95 EV
Jose Ramirez | OVER 0.5 HR (+720)
Projection: 12% chance of this bet hitting, with a $1.11 EV
Drew Gilbert | OVER 0.5 RBI (+352)
Projection: 27% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.83 EV
Shay Whitcomb | OVER 0.5 RBI (+289)
Projection: 30% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.34 EV
Cal Raleigh | UNDER 0.5 H (+127)
Projection: 50% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.16 EV
Thursday's top pitcher prop bets
Lake Bachar | OVER 0.5 ER (-118)
Projection: 73% chance of this bet hitting, with a $40.79 EV
Kade Anderson | UNDER 1.5 ER (-101)
Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $33.39 EV
Luis Castillo | OVER 4.5 K (+112)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.96 EV
Shane McClanahan | UNDER 4.5 K (+109)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.48 EV
Sandy Alcantara | UNDER 4.5 K (-168)
Projection: 69% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.03 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
St. Louis Cardinals Game Total OVER:
Road games involving the Cardinals have gone over this total seven straight times. (+7.00 Units / 93% ROI). Current odds: 8 @ -104
Chicago Cubs 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total OVER:
The Cubs have gone over this total in six consecutive contests. (+6.05 Units / 86% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ -160
Tampa Bay Rays Team Total UNDER:
Tampa Bay has gone under this total six straight times on the road. (+6.00 Units / 78% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -145
San Francisco Giants Run Line:
The Giants have won this bet in five consecutive road games. (+5.00 Units / 75% ROI). Current odds: 1 @ -109