All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Friday's top batter prop bets
Brenton Doyle | OVER 0.5 HR (+1000)
Projection: 11% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.36 EV
Evan Carter | OVER 0.5 HR (+750)
Projection: 13% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.69 EV
Hunter Goodman | OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+107)
Projection: 58% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.96 EV
Cody Freeman | OVER 1.5 TB (+302)
Projection: 30% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.60 EV
Kyle Schwarber | UNDER 0.5 H (+155)
Projection: 45% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.93 EV
Friday's top pitcher prop bets
Eury Perez | UNDER 5.5 K (+100)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.74 EV
Jared Jones | UNDER 4.5 K (+120)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.04 EV
Cam Schlittler | UNDER 6.5 K (+115)
Projection: 54% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.57 EV
Christian Scott | UNDER 5.5 K (+117)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.29 EV
Michael Wacha | UNDER 2.5 ER (-115)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.85 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
St. Louis Cardinals Game Total OVER
Games involving St. Louis have gone over this total eight straight times. (+8.00 Units / 91% ROI). Current odds: 7 @ -122
Cleveland Guardians Moneyline
Cleveland is looking to extend its seven-game winning streak. (+7.00 Units / 62% ROI). Current odds: -142
San Diego Padres 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total UNDER
The Padres have gone under this total for five straight games. (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ +100
Miami Marlins 1st 5 innings (F5) Run Line
Miami has won this bet in five consecutive outings. (+5.00 Units / 75% ROI). Current odds: -0.5 @ -115
