All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Friday's top batter prop bets
Michael Busch | OVER 0.5 HR (+481)
Projection: 18% chance of this bet hitting, with a $6.56 EV
Mike Yastrzemski | OVER 0.5 RBI (+406)
Projection: 25% chance of this bet hitting, with a $26.96 EV
Willy Adames | OVER 0.5 RBI (+247)
Projection: 36% chance of this bet hitting, with a $26.41 EV
Jeff McNeil | UNDER 0.5 H (+199)
Projection: 37% chance of this bet hitting, with a $9.70 EV
Daylen Lile | UNDER 1.5 TB (-124)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.09 EV
Friday's top pitcher prop bets
Jacob Misiorowski | UNDER 9.5 K (-124)
Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $26.30 EV
Troy Melton | UNDER 4.5 K (-110)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.86 EV
Sean Manaea | UNDER 5.5 K (+110)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.30 EV
Tanner Gordon | UNDER 2.5 ER (+122)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.13 EV
Ryan Gusto | OVER 4.5 K (+110)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.68 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Atlanta Braves Team Total UNDER:
The Braves have gone under this total in 12 straight road games. (+12.00 Units / 81% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ -110
Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline:
The Rays are seeking to extend their nine-game road win streak. (+9.20 Units / 66% ROI). Current odds: +109
San Diego Padres Moneyline:
The Padres are seeking to extend their five-game home win streak.(+5.20 Units / 95% ROI). Current odds: -143
Toronto Blue Jays Run Line:
Toronto has won this bet in six straight road contests. (+6.00 Units / 72% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ -126