All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Thursday's top batter prop bets
Cal Raleigh | OVER 0.5 HR (+423)
Projection: 20% chance of this bet hitting, with a $5.91 EV
JJ Bleday | OVER 0.5 HR (+407)
Projection: 21% chance of this bet hitting, with a $6.52 EV
Bryce Eldridge | OVER 0.5 RBI (+250)
Projection: 34% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.11 EV
Gunnar Henderson | OVER 0.5 RBI (+230)
Projection: 35% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.19 EV
Mike Trout | OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+110)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.94 EV
Thursday's top pitcher prop bets
Gerrit Cole | UNDER 6.5 K (-116)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.33 EV
Randy Dobnak | UNDER 3.5 K (-115)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.91 EV
Grant Holmes | OVER 2.5 ER (+122)
Projection: 50% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.60 EV
Shane Bieber | UNDER 3.5 K (+101)
Projection: 54% chance of this bet hitting, with a $9.02 EV
Andrew Alvarez | UNDER 4.5 K (-124)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.69 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Chicago White Sox Team Total OVER:
The White Sox have gone over this total in four of their last five home games. (+3.15 Units / 58% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ +114
Atlanta Braves Team Total UNDER:
The Braves have gone under this total in 11 straight road games. (+11.00 Units / 82% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -135
St. Louis Cardinals 1st 5 innings (F5) Run Line:
St. Louis has won this bet in nine consecutive contests. (+9.25 Units / 97% ROI). Current odds: -0.5 @ +114
Milwaukee Brewers 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total OVER:
The Brewers have gone over this total eight straight times at home. (+8.35 Units / 88% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ +124