All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Thursday's top batter prop bets
Jo Adell | OVER 0.5 HR (+535)
Projection: 19% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.30 EV
Jo Adell | OVER 0.5 RBI (+185)
Projection: 41% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.51 EV
Royce Lewis | OVER 0.5 HR (+443)
Projection: 19% chance of this bet hitting, with a $3.50 EV
Joc Pederson | UNDER 0.5 H (+144)
Projection: 50% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.20 EV
Eugenio Suarez | OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+120)
Projection: 51% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.10 EV
Thursday's top pitcher prop bets
Taj Bradley | UNDER 5.5 K (+119)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.74 EV
Jacob deGrom | UNDER 1.5 ER (+110)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.69 EV
Roki Sasaki | UNDER 2.5 ER (-165)
Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.52 EV
Max Scherzer | OVER 4.5 K (+130)
Projection: 45% chance of this bet hitting, with a $4.01 EV
Payton Tolle | UNDER 5.5 K (-119)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $4.47 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Washington Nationals Team Total OVER:
The Nationals have gone over this total in seven straight games. (+7.15 Units / 85% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ -130
Toronto Blue Jays Run Line:
Toronto has won this bet in six consecutive contests. (+6.65 Units / 90% ROI). Current odds: 1 @ +100
Detroit Tigers 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total OVER:
Detroit has gone over this total in six straight home outings. (+6.45 Units / 91% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ -125
Los Angeles Angels Game Total UNDER:
The Angels have gone under this total in six straight home games. (+6.00 Units / 90% ROI). Current odds: 8 @ -105