All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Wednesday's top batter prop bets
Zack Gelof | OVER 0.5 HR (+760)
Projection: 15% chance of this bet hitting, with a $29.43 EV
Liam Hicks | OVER 0.5 HR (+820)
Projection: 14% chance of this bet hitting, with a $25.30 EV
Tyler Soderstrom | OVER 0.5 RBI (+221)
Projection: 39% chance of this bet hitting, with a $25.51 EV
Tyler Soderstrom | OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+103)
Projection: 58% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.70 EV
Jakob Marsee | UNDER 0.5 H (+159)
Projection: 46% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.36 EV
Wednesday's top pitcher prop bets
Zac Thornton | UNDER 3.5 K (+116)
Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $27.81 EV
Zack Wheeler | UNDER 5.5 K (+106)
Projection: 58% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.55 EV
Drew Rasmussen | UNDER 4.5 K (+124)
Projection: 49% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.30 EV
David Peterson | UNDER 2.5 ER (-119)
Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.87 EV
Tyler Mahle | UNDER 5.5 K (-141)
Projection: 63% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.24 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Seattle Mariners 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total UNDER:
The Mariners have gone under this total in seven straight games. (+7.40 Units / 91% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ +114
Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline:
Tampa Bay looks to close out a perfect nine-game road trip with a win today. (+8.20 Units / 70% ROI). Current odds: -194
Toronto Blue Jays Run Line:
Toronto has won this bet in five consecutive contests. (+5.65 Units / 96% ROI). Current odds: 1 @ -134
Washington Nationals Team Total OVER:
The Nationals have gone over this total in six straight games. (+6.15 Units / 88% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ -145
