All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Saturday's top batter prop bets
Daulton Varsho | OVER 0.5 HR (+670)
Projection: 14% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.27 EV
Evan Carter | OVER 0.5 HR (+810)
Projection: 12% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.57 EV
Kyle Tucker | OVER 0.5 RBI (+296)
Projection: 33% chance of this bet hitting, with a $29.33 EV
Ryan Jeffers | OVER 0.5 RBI (+262)
Projection: 34% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.55 EV
Andres Chaparro | UNDER 0.5 H (+121)
Projection: 50% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.16 EV
Saturday's top pitcher prop bets
Jacob Misiorowski | UNDER 8.5 K (-101)
Projection: 64% chance of this bet hitting, with a $28.36 EV
Jesus Luzardo | UNDER 6.5 K (-110)
Projection: 66% chance of this bet hitting, with a $28.24 EV
Randy Dobnak | UNDER 3.5 K (-145)
Projection: 68% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.77 EV
Reid Detmers | OVER 6.5 K (+123)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.68 EV
Logan Webb | OVER 5.5 K (-103)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.95 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Athletics Game Total Over:
Seven straight Athletics home games have gone over the total. (+7.00 Units / 92% ROI). Current odds: 9.5 @ +100
Toronto Blue Jays 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total Under:
The Blue Jays have gone under their first five innings run total in 17 of their last 20 home games. (+13.60 Units / 55% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ -135
Chicago Cubs Run Line:
The Cubs are 15-4-1 covering the run line in their last 20 games. (+12.20 Units / 50% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ -134
Los Angeles Dodgers 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total Under:
The Dodgers have gone under their first five innings run total in nine of their last 10 games. (+8.00 Units / 65% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ -120