All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Monday's top batter prop bets
Carlos Cortes | OVER 0.5 HR (+920)
Projection: 14% chance of this bet hitting, with a $41.88 EV
Jorge Polanco | OVER 0.5 RBI (+309)
Projection: 33% chance of this bet hitting, with a $35.50 EV
Jorge Polanco | OVER 1.5 TB (+243)
Projection: 38% chance of this bet hitting, with a $31.16 EV
Nick Sogard | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+104)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.00 EV
Chandler Simpson | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+114)
Projection: 51% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.06 EV
Monday's top pitcher prop bets
Christian Scott | UNDER 5.5 K (-126)
Projection: 65% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.17 EV
Freddy Peralta | OVER 2.5 ER (-106)
Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.24 EV
Sonny Gray | UNDER 4.5 K (+105)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.19 EV
Trevor Rogers | UNDER 4.5 K (+127)
Projection: 51% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.52 EV
Logan Henderson | UNDER 5.5 K (-144)
Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.31 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Atlanta Braves Run Line:
Atlanta has won this bet in six consecutive games at Truist Park. (+8.15 Units / 136% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ -111
Boston Red Sox Moneyline:
Boston is looking to extend its five-game road winning streak. (+6.30 Units / 99% ROI). Current odds: -179
Texas Rangers Team Total UNDER:
The Rangers have been under this total in five straight road games. (+5.10 Units / 84% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -140
Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline:
Tampa Bay is 6-0 on its current road trip. (+6.20 Units / 76% ROI). Current odds: -162