All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Thursday's top batter prop bets
Colson Montgomery | OVER 0.5 HR (+494)
Projection: 19% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.38 EV
Salvador Perez | OVER 0.5 HR (+394)
Projection: 22% chance of this bet hitting, with a $8.14 EV
Jo Adell | OVER 0.5 RBI (+245)
Projection: 37% chance of this bet hitting, with a $26.89 EV
Joe Mack | OVER 0.5 RBI (+261)
Projection: 35% chance of this bet hitting, with a $24.80 EV
Luis Arraez | UNDER 1.5 TB (-125)
Projection: 64% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.03 EV
Thursday's top pitcher prop bets
Walker Buehler | UNDER 3.5 K (+113)
Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $25.37 EV
Andrew Abbott | OVER 4.5 K (+100)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.90 EV
Nolan McLean | UNDER 5.5 K (+106)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.52 EV
Bailey Ober | UNDER 4.5 K (-147)
Projection: 70% chance of this bet hitting, with a $25.60 EV
Dylan Cease | UNDER 7.5 K (-111)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.62 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Atlanta Braves Run Line:
The Braves have won this bet in five consecutive home games. (+6.95 Units / 139% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ -114
Boston Red Sox Moneyline:
Boston is looking to extend their seven-game winning streak. (+8.30 Units / 89% ROI). Current odds: -193
Miami Marlins Game Total UNDER:
The last eight road games involving the Marlins have gone under this total. (+8.00 Units / 88% ROI). Current odds: 9 @ -112
Detroit Tigers 1st 5 innings (F5) Run Line:
Detroit has won this bet in seven straight contests. (+7.00 Units / 77% ROI). Current odds: 0.5 @ -135