All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Saturday's top batter prop bets
Carson Kelly | OVER 0.5 HR (+900)
Projection: 12% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.50 EV
Mike Trout | OVER 0.5 RBI (+223)
Projection: 37% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.87 EV
Matt Olson | OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+105)
Projection: 58% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.06 EV
Nick Sogard | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (-113)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.36 EV
Caleb Durbin | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+123)
Projection: 51% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.62 EV
Saturday's top pitcher prop bets
Peter Lambert | UNDER 5.5 K (-160)
Projection: 75% chance of this bet hitting, with a $35.86 EV
Gavin Williams | UNDER 7.5 K (+108)
Projection: 58% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.79 EV
Sandy Alcantara | UNDER 5.5 K (-116)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.21 EV
Andrew Alvarez | UNDER 2.5 ER (-143)
Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.91 EV
Yoshinobu Yamamoto | UNDER 5.5 K (-116)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.36 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top Betting Trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Atlanta Braves Run Line:
The Braves have covered the run line in seven straight games. (+9.15 Units / 117% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ -112
Boston Red Sox Moneyline:
The Red Sox have won nine straight games. (+10.30 Units / 73% ROI). Current odds: -259
Los Angeles Angels Game Total Under:
Seven straight Angels games have gone under the total. (7-0) (+7.00 Units / 90% ROI). Current odds: 7.5 @ -105
Chicago Cubs 1st 5 innings (F5) Run Line:
The Cubs have covered the first five innings run line in five straight road games. (+5.25 Units / 88% ROI). Current odds: -0.5 @ -125
New York Mets 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total Over:
The Mets have gone over their first five innings team total in six straight road games.. (+6.00 Units / 75% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ +124