All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Thursday's top batter prop bets
Liam Hicks | OVER 0.5 HR (+1180)
Projection: 9% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.38 EV
Jonah Heim | OVER 0.5 HR (+620)
Projection: 16% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.62 EV
Andy Pages | OVER 0.5 RBI (+227)
Projection: 36% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.13 EV
Tyler Soderstrom | OVER 0.5 RBI (+170)
Projection: 44% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.29 EV
Cedric Mullins | UNDER 0.5 H (+136)
Projection: 47% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.46 EV
Thursday's top pitcher prop bets
Javier Assad | UNDER 2.5 K (+139)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $32.33 EV
Jake Irvin | UNDER 3.5 K (+117)
Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $28.42 EV
Bailey Ober | OVER 2.5 ER (-101)
Projection: 58% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.76 EV
Ryan Weathers | UNDER 2.5 ER (-132)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.42 EV
Sean Burke | UNDER 2.5 ER (-127)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.77 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Kansas City Royals Run Line:
The Royals have won this bet in eight straight games. (+8.00 Units / 77% ROI). Current odds: 1 @ -127
San Diego Padres Moneyline:
The Padres are looking to extend their five-game winning streak. (+5.25 Units / 72% ROI). Current odds: -131
Atlanta Braves Team Total UNDER:
Atlanta has gone under this total in five consecutive contests. (+5.00 Units / 74% ROI). Current odds: 5.5 @ -145
New York Mets Run Line:
The Mets have won this bet in each of the last five games at Citi Field. (+5.00 Units / 68% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ +114