All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Monday's top batter prop bets
Tyler O'Neill | OVER 0.5 HR (+552)
Projection: 21% chance of this bet hitting, with a $38.48 EV
Andrew Benintendi | OVER 0.5 HR (+760)
Projection: 16% chance of this bet hitting, with a $35.54 EV
Jorge Polanco | OVER 0.5 RBI (+258)
Projection: 35% chance of this bet hitting, with a $25.51 EV
Kyle Manzardo | OVER 0.5 RBI (+247)
Projection: 36% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.95 EV
Kazuma Okamoto | UNDER 0.5 H (+169)
Projection: 41% chance of this bet hitting, with a $9.48 EV
Monday's top pitcher prop bets
Payton Tolle | UNDER 5.5 K (+107)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $28.03 EV
Max Fried | UNDER 5.5 K (-125)
Projection: 71% chance of this bet hitting, with a $34.48 EV
Zack Wheeler | UNDER 7.5 K (-146)
Projection: 73% chance of this bet hitting, with a $32.60 EV
Slade Cecconi | UNDER 4.5 K (-113)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.18 EV
Tyler Mahle | UNDER 2.5 ER (-127)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.74 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Boston Red Sox Moneyline
Boston is looking to extend its nine-game road win streak. (+9.40 Units / 85% ROI). Current odds: -175
Los Angeles Angels Game Total UNDER
Games at Angel Stadium have gone under this total for six straight contests. (+6.00 Units / 92% ROI). Current odds: 8.5 @ -115
Cincinnati Reds 1st 5 innings (F5) Run Line
The Reds have won this wager in five consecutive home games. (+5.35 Units / 98% ROI). Current odds: -0.5 @ -135
Detroit Tigers Team Total UNDER
Detroit has gone under this total in six straight home games. (+6.10 Units / 87% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -140