All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Saturday's top batter prop bets
Mookie Betts | OVER 0.5 HR (+850)
Projection: 13% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.70 EV
Kyle Tucker | OVER 0.5 HR (+770)
Projection: 14% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.15 EV
Mike Yastrzemski | OVER 0.5 RBI (+252)
Projection: 34% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.15 EV
Mickey Moniak | OVER 0.5 RBI (+238)
Projection: 35% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.33 EV
Harry Ford | UNDER 0.5 H (+124)
Projection: 51% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.11 EV
Saturday's top pitcher prop bets
Eury Perez | UNDER 5.5 K (+121)
Projection: 54% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.31 EV
Hunter Greene | UNDER 6.5 K (-129)
Projection: 65% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.79 EV
Dylan Cease | UNDER 7.5 K (-111)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.67 EV
Sean Burke | UNDER 5.5 K (-130)
Projection: 63% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.29 EV
Robbie Ray | OVER 2.5 ER (-104)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.44 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
New York Yankees Run Line:
The Yankees have covered the run line in five straight road games. (+5.25 Units / 77% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ +104
Texas Rangers Game Total Over:
Thirteen of the last 15 Rangers games have gone ovebr the total. (+10.70 Units / 63% ROI). Current odds: 7.5 @ -105
Los Angeles Angels Game Total Under:
Nine of the last 10 Angels games have gone under the total. (+7.85 Units / 72% ROI). Current odds: 9 @ -115
Boston Red Sox Team Total Over:
The Red Sox have gone over their team total in 12 of their last 15 games. (+8.95 Units / 52% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ -130
Atlanta Braves Team Total Over:
The Braves have gone over their team total in 15 of their last 20 games. (+9.45 Units / 40% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -115