All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Sunday's top batter prop bets
Josh Naylor | OVER 0.5 HR (+870)
Projection: 12% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.06 EV
Francisco Alvarez | OVER 0.5 HR (+458)
Projection: 21% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.18 EV
Cedric Mullins | OVER 0.5 RBI (+202)
Projection: 40% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.35 EV
Munetaka Murakami | UNDER 0.5 H (+112)
Projection: 54% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.63 EV
LaMonte Wade Jr | UNDER 0.5 H (+118)
Projection: 50% chance of this bet hitting, with a $9.48 EV
Sunday's top pitcher prop bets
Jacob Lopez | OVER 3.5 K (-134)
Projection: 69% chance of this bet hitting, with a $28.47 EV
Casey Mize | UNDER 5.5 K (+111)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.73 EV
Shane McClanahan | UNDER 4.5 K (+121)
Projection: 52% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.78 EV
Cam Schlittler | UNDER 6.5 K (+114)
Projection: 54% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.75 EV
Sonny Gray | UNDER 4.5 K (+116)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.06 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Top Betting Trends
Boston Red Sox Moneyline:
The Red Sox have won 12 straight games. (+12.40 Units / 84% ROI) Current odds: -127
Athletics 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total Under:
This bet has won in nine of their past 10 games. (+8.00 Units / 62% ROI) Current odds: 2.5 @ -130
Detroit Tigers 1st 5 innings (F5) Moneyline:
The Tigers have led after the first five innings in 13 of their past 20 games. (+8.30 Units / 30% ROI) Current odds: -160
Los Angeles Dodgers 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total Under:
This bet has won in eight of their past 10 games. (+5.85 Units / 50% ROI) Current odds: 1.5 @ +120
New York Yankees Team Total Under:
Eleven straight games at Yankee Stadium have gone under the pregame total. (+11.15 Units / 81% ROI) Current odds: 3.5 @ -115