MLB betting tips for Sunday: Back Michael Busch against the Brewers

Michael Busch is in a good position to go over on RBI against the Brewers today. John Hefti-Imagn Images

All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.

Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.


Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz


Sunday's top batter prop bets

Wyatt Langford | OVER 0.5 HR (+517)
Projection: 19% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.07 EV

Kyle Manzardo | OVER 0.5 HR (+516)
Projection: 19% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.96 EV

Michael Busch | OVER 0.5 RBI (+226)
Projection: 38% chance of this bet hitting, with a $24.08 EV

Seiya Suzuki | OVER 0.5 RBI (+243)
Projection: 36% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.55 EV

Bryce Eldridge | UNDER 0.5 H (+107)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.31 EV

Sunday's top pitcher prop bets

Drew Rasmussen | UNDER 5.5 K (-101)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.00 EV

Emmet Sheehan | UNDER 5.5 K (-106)
Projection: 58% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.44 EV

Connor Prielipp | OVER 5.5 K (-107)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.45 EV

Tyler Phillips | UNDER 3.5 K (-101)
Projection: 58% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.14 EV

Luinder Avila | UNDER 3.5 K (+102)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.27 EV

The BAT X: Team Projections

Top Betting Trends

Seattle Mariners Team Total UNDER:
The Mariners have gone under their team total for 13 straight games. (+13.45 Units / 91% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ -110

Washington Nationals Game Total UNDER:
Five straight away games for the Nationals have gone under the total. (+5.00 Units / 89% ROI). Current odds: 9 @ -114

Chicago White Sox Moneyline:
The White Sox have won this best in 16 of their last 20 home games. (16-4) (+13.50 Units / 60% ROI). Current odds: -143