All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Thursday's top batter prop bets
Isaac Collins | OVER 0.5 HR (+810)
Projection: 12% chance of this bet hitting, with a $9.20 EV
Francisco Lindor | OVER 0.5 HR (+431)
Projection: 21% chance of this bet hitting, with a $9.17 EV
Ceddanne Rafaela | OVER 0.5 RBI (+289)
Projection: 31% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.07 EV
Tyler Callihan | OVER 0.5 RBI (+286)
Projection: 32% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.05 EV
Brandon Lowe | OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+102)
Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.72 EV
Thursday's top pitcher prop bets
Bryce Miller | UNDER 5.5 K (-126)
Projection: 95% chance of this bet hitting, with a $89.15 EV
Cristopher Sanchez | UNDER 2.5 ER (-171)
Projection: 76% chance of this bet hitting, with a $33.69 EV
Matthew Boyd | UNDER 4.5 K (-110)
Projection: 58% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.81 EV
Freddy Peralta | OVER 2.5 ER (+118)
Projection: 50% chance of this bet hitting, with a $9.89 EV
Connelly Early | UNDER 2.5 ER (-121)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.53 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Seattle Mariners Team Total UNDER:
The Mariners have gone under this total in 10 straight games. (+10.30 Units / 89% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -115
Chicago Cubs Game Total OVER:
Games involving the Cubs have gone over this total in six consecutive contests. (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI). Current odds: 8.5 @ -110
St. Louis Cardinals Team Total UNDER:
The Cardinals have gone under this total in six straight home games. (+6.25 Units / 89% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -120
Detroit Tigers Game Total UNDER:
Games involving the Tigers have gone under this total in eight of their last 10 contests. (+5.75 Units / 52% ROI). Current odds: 9 @ -120