All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Tuesday's top batter prop bets
Manny Machado | OVER 0.5 HR (+583)
Projection: 18% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.89 EV
Manny Machado | OVER 0.5 RBI (+209)
Projection: 38% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.84 EV
Spencer Torkelson | OVER 0.5 RBI (+216)
Projection: 38% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.88 EV
Travis Bazzana | UNDER 0.5 H (+168)
Projection: 44% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.18 EV
Ryan Ward | UNDER 0.5 H (+103)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.14 EV
Tuesday's top pitcher prop bets
Sonny Gray | UNDER 5.5 K (-149)
Projection: 73% chance of this bet hitting, with a $32.92 EV
Jesus Luzardo | UNDER 2.5 ER (-143)
Projection: 69% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.94 EV
Mitch Keller | OVER 2.5 ER (-115)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.15 EV
Shane Baz | UNDER 5.5 K (-110)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $9.78 EV
Carlos Rodon | UNDER 5.5 K (+118)
Projection: 50% chance of this bet hitting, with a $8.83 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Seattle Mariners Team Total UNDER:
The Mariners have gone under this total in eight straight games. (+8.25 Units / 87% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -125
Arizona Diamondbacks 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total UNDER:
Arizona has gone under this total in six consecutive road contests. (+6.35 Units / 88% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ -145
Detroit Tigers Moneyline:
Detroit has won this bet in five straight home games. (+5.10 Units / 76% ROI). Current odds: -105
Chicago White Sox Moneyline:
The White Sox have won this bet in 17 of their last 20 home games. (+15.90 Units / 73% ROI). Current odds: -105