All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Thursday's top batter prop bets
Gunnar Henderson | OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+103)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.91 EV
Kazuma Okamoto | OVER 0.5 HR (+482)
Projection: 19% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.85 EV
Jose Siri | OVER 1.5 TB (+239)
Projection: 37% chance of this bet hitting, with a $25.23 EV
Bobby Witt Jr. | UNDER 1.5 TB (+109)
Projection: 52% chance of this bet hitting, with a $7.97 EV
Mauricio Dubon | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (-124)
Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $8.81 EV
Thursday's top pitcher prop bets
Gage Jump | OVER 2.5 ER (+100)
Projection: 54% chance of this bet hitting, with a $8.80 EV
Jack Leiter | OVER 5.5 K (-105)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $8.12 EV
Joe Ryan | OVER 6.5 K (-119)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $4.10 EV
Martin Perez | OVER 4.5 K (+106)
Projection: 50% chance of this bet hitting, with a $2.84 EV
Bryan Woo | UNDER 6.5 K (-111)
Projection: 54% chance of this bet hitting, with a $2.71 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Minnesota Twins Team Total OVER
The Twins have gone over this total in five straight games. (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ +114
Toronto Blue Jays Run Line
Toronto has won this bet in 11 of its last 15 road games. (+7.65 Units / 35% ROI). Current odds: 1 @ -152
New York Mets Team Total UNDER
The Mets have gone under this total in 14 of their last 20 road games. (+7.30 Units / 33% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -120
Seattle Mariners Team Total UNDER
Seattle has gone under this total in four of their last five games at T-Mobile Park. (+3.15 Units / 62% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -154