topsecretdailynotesfile

Sep 15, 2026, 11:32 AM ET

TODAY

STARTING PITCHER RANKINGS

Pitchers are ranked in order of their Forecaster/Daily Notes projected fantasy points (FPTS), using ESPN's standard scoring system (2 points per win, minus-2 per loss, 3 per inning, 1 per K, minus-1 apiece per hit or walk allowed, minus-2 per earned run allowed).

T: The pitcher's handedness. OPP: Opposing team. RST%: The pitcher's roster percentage in ESPN leagues. W%: The individual starting pitcher's win probability using ESPN projections. IP: Projected innings pitched. H+BB: Projected hits plus walks allowed. ER: Projected earned runs allowed. K: Projected strikeouts.

If a team is planning on using an "opener" to start their game, but will rely on a "bulk pitcher" to follow him on the mound after 1-2 innings, the bulk pitcher is listed and indicated with an asterisk.

FPTS	Pitcher	T	Opp	Rst%	W%	IP	H+BB	ER	K
14.9	Cristopher Sanchez	L	@WSH	99.5%	55%	6.2	6.9	2.2	6.9
14.4	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	R	@CIN	99.7%	50%	6.0	6.8	2.3	7.1
14.0	Jacob Misiorowski	R	@PIT	99.3%	40%	5.6	6.4	1.8	6.8
12.7	Hunter Brown	R	KC	91.6%	36%	5.7	6.7	2.0	6.3
11.9	Shane Baz	R	@NYM	33.7%	36%	5.8	7.0	2.1	5.7
11.2	Jacob deGrom	R	BOS	96.9%	29%	5.4	6.4	2.4	6.1
10.8	Logan Gilbert	R	@LAA	97.9%	36%	5.7	7.0	2.8	6.2
10.8	Kevin Gausman	R	ATL	83.1%	37%	5.8	7.3	2.6	5.8
10.8	Max Fried	L	@MIN	97.2%	29%	5.0	5.8	1.7	5.0
10.7	Sean Manaea	L	BAL	6.1%	23%	5.0	5.8	1.9	5.3
10.3	Michael Wacha	R	@HOU	75.0%	30%	5.9	7.2	2.6	5.2
10.3	Blade Tidwell	R	@STL	0.7%	30%	5.4	6.7	2.1	4.9
8.9	Andre Pallante	R	SF	22.1%	31%	5.8	7.7	2.5	4.4
8.9	Foster Griffin	L	CWS	70.8%	28%	4.9	6.3	2.4	5.2
8.7	Michael Soroka	R	MIA	33.4%	25%	5.0	6.5	2.4	5.0
8.6	Drew Anderson	R	@TOR	1.8%	33%	5.1	6.7	2.4	4.5
8.5	Jack Perkins	R	@TB	1.3%	19%	4.7	6.4	2.1	5.1
8.4	Griffin Jax	R	ATH	44.8%	16%	4.2	5.1	1.6	4.3
7.6	Bailey Ober	R	NYY	15.8%	23%	5.1	6.7	2.8	4.6
7.3	Ryan Johnson	R	SEA	5.7%	26%	5.3	7.2	2.9	4.5
7.2	Jackson Kent	L	PHI	0.3%	16%	5.0	6.6	2.6	4.4
6.8	Martin Perez	L	@CHC	10.7%	22%	4.9	6.8	2.4	3.9
6.6	Janson Junk	R	@ARI	2.1%	15%	4.4	5.7	2.1	3.4
6.1	Davis Martin	R	@CLE	31.9%	19%	4.7	6.6	2.5	4.0
5.7	Patrick Sandoval	L	@TEX	2.1%	20%	4.8	7.2	2.9	4.7
4.5	Rhett Lowder	R	LAD	2.4%	15%	4.9	7.4	3.3	4.4
3.6	Spencer Miles*	R	DET	1.9%	2%	2.3	3.0	1.1	2.2
2.9	Lake Bachar	R	MIL	0.3%	1%	1.9	2.7	0.9	1.9
0.2	Walker Buehler	R	@COL	9.9%	16%	4.3	7.4	4.7	4.1
-1.5	Kyle Freeland	L	SD	0.7%	18%	4.8	8.3	5.7	4.2

TOMORROW

STARTING PITCHER RANKINGS

FPTS	Pitcher	T	Opp	Rst%	W%	IP	H+BB	ER	K
13.7	Zack Wheeler	R	@WSH	98.1%	50%	6.2	7.2	2.6	7.1
12.6	Blake Snell	L	@CIN	90.7%	39%	5.3	6.5	2.0	6.9
12.2	Logan Henderson	R	@PIT	75.4%	34%	5.6	6.3	2.1	5.7
11.4	Parker Messick	L	CWS	94.8%	38%	5.6	7.0	2.5	6.2
11.4	Carlos Rodon	L	@MIN	62.9%	33%	5.4	6.3	2.0	5.5
11.0	Nick Martinez	R	ATH	68.8%	43%	5.6	6.4	2.1	4.4
10.5	Shota Imanaga	L	ATL	81.8%	33%	5.7	6.9	2.6	5.5
10.3	Robert Stock	R	BAL	0.2%	25%	4.9	6.0	1.7	5.0
10.1	Chris Bassitt	R	@NYM	4.6%	33%	5.6	7.4	2.3	5.1
10.0	JR Ritchie	R	@CHC	1.4%	29%	5.2	6.2	2.0	4.6
8.9	George Kirby	R	@LAA	83.8%	37%	5.8	7.8	3.2	5.5
8.7	Jared Jones	R	MIL	21.5%	24%	4.9	6.6	2.3	5.2
8.6	Merrill Kelly	R	MIA	20.7%	32%	5.7	7.7	2.9	5.1
8.5	Keider Montero	R	@TOR	12.6%	29%	5.0	6.1	2.2	3.8
8.5	Max Scherzer	R	DET	4.7%	26%	5.2	6.7	2.6	4.8
8.5	Matthew Liberatore	L	SF	4.1%	27%	5.1	6.9	2.4	4.8
8.4	Cade Cavalli	R	PHI	73.7%	19%	5.0	6.7	2.4	5.2
8.0	Daniel Lynch IV	L	@HOU	0.7%	19%	4.8	6.3	2.2	4.3
7.8	Zebby Matthews	R	NYY	8.9%	23%	5.0	6.8	2.7	5.0
7.6	Jake Bennett	L	@TEX	25.9%	25%	4.6	5.7	2.3	3.9
7.6	Cristian Javier	R	KC	3.8%	15%	4.3	5.8	1.8	4.2
7.4	Anthony Molina	R	@STL	1.3%	26%	4.9	6.5	2.4	4.0
7.1	MacKenzie Gore	L	BOS	54.2%	16%	4.8	6.8	2.6	5.1
6.8	Ryan Gusto	R	@ARI	0.6%	27%	4.9	6.9	2.6	4.3
6.6	Yusei Kikuchi	L	SEA	8.8%	23%	5.0	7.5	3.0	5.2
5.6	Andrew Abbott	L	LAD	35.0%	10%	4.3	5.8	2.5	4.0
5.5	Erick Fedde	R	@CLE	1.4%	22%	4.9	7.2	2.8	3.8
5.2	Brady Basso	L	@TB	0.1%	3%	3.1	3.9	1.3	2.7
2.7	Robbie Ray	L	@COL	63.5%	23%	4.8	7.9	4.4	4.9
0.7	Mason Adams	R	SD	0.6%	8%	4.1	6.9	4.4	4.3

PITCHER	OPP.	MONEY LINE	PROJ. WIN%	VALUE %	RUN LINE	OV	VALUE %	GAME TOTAL	O/U	xRUNS	VALUE %
Max Fried	@SF	-126	55.3	+0.71	-1.0	+106	+0.71	7.0	O -108	7.56	-0.01
Logan Webb	NYY	+104	44.7	-10.55	+1.0	-138	-10.55	7.0	U -112	7.56	-8.99

PITCHER	OPP.	MONEY LINE	PROJ. WIN%	VALUE %	RUN LINE	OV	VALUE %	GAME TOTAL	O/U	xRUNS	VALUE %
Max Fried	@ SF	-126	55.2	0.66	-1.0	+106	0.66	7.0	O -105	7.57	1.64
Logan Webb	vs. NYY	+104	44.8	-10.48	+1.0	-138	-10.48		U -115		-10.37