Australia are all but assured of a semi-final spot. While South Africa are the favourites to beat Bangladesh, their poor net run rate means their chances hinge on Australia beating India.

India have often found Australia between them and an ICC title - usually in a semi-final or a final. This time, however, their biggest test comes in a league match.

Despite Phoebe Litchfield missing three games due to injury, Australia have been dominant. On the other hand, India have looked scratchy and unsettled. They have used all 16 members of their squad and still appear uncertain about their best XI.

India have had quite a few issues: playing Yastika Bhatia at No. 3 hasn't delivered the expected results, Shreyanka Patil's injury has robbed them of a key player, and they have not trusted any of their fast bowlers enough to play her in all games. Their poor fielding has only added to their woes.

Yet, they can draw confidence from their last big match against Australia - the 2025 ODI World Cup semi-final - where they pulled off a record chase.

Team news and likely XIs

Both Bangladesh and South Africa are likely to field unchanged XIs.

Bangladesh (probable): 1 Dilara Akter, 2 Juairiya Ferdous, 3 Sharmin Akhter, 4 Nigar Sultana (capt, wk), 5 Sobhana Mostary, 6 Ritu Moni, 7 Shorna Akter, 8 Rabeya Khan, 9 Nahida Akter, 10 Marufa Akter, 11 Sanjida Akter Meghla

South Africa (probable): 1 Laura Wolvaardt (capt), 2 Tazmin Brits, 3 Annerie Dercksen, 4 Marizanne Kapp, 5 Nadine de Klerk, 6 Chloe Tryon, 7 Dane van Niekerk, 8 Sinalo Jafta (wk), 9 Shabnim Ismail, 10 Ayabonga Khaka, 11 Nonkululeko Mlaba

A fit-again Litchfield could replace Lucy Hamilton for Australia.

Australia (probable): 1 Beth Mooney (wk), 2 Georgia Voll, 3 Phoebe Litchfield, 4 Ellyse Perry, 5 Ashleigh Gardner, 6 Georgia Wareham, 7 Annabel Sutherland, 8 Nicola Carey, 9 Sophie Molineux (capt), 10 Alana King, 11 Kim Garth

For India, it may be prudent to bring back Bharti Fulmali in place of Bhatia. But who their two fast bowlers will be is anyone's guess.

India (probable): 1 Shafali Verma, 2 Smriti Mandhana, 3 Jemimah Rodrigues, 4 Harmanpreet Kaur, 5 Bharti Fulmali/Yastika Bhatia, 6 Richa Ghosh (wk), 7 Deepti Sharma, 8 Radha Yadav, 9 Arundhati Reddy/Nandani Sharma, 10 Renuka Singh, 11 N Shree Charani

Players to watch

Rabeya Khan has flown under the radar for Bangladesh. While she has picked up only three wickets in four games, her economy rate has been an excellent 5.58. Given that the legspinners have been successful against South Africa in the tournament, she could be a key bowler for her side.

Tazmin Brits was not the first-choice opener for South Africa when the World Cup started. But despite playing just two games, she is their leading run-scorer with a tally of 154 at a strike rate of 146.66. As South Africa target another big win, she could play an important role once more.

It might come off as a surprise but Ellyse Perry didn't have a T20 World Cup fifty before this week. On Tuesday, she corrected that with 71 off 48 balls against Pakistan and also picked up 2 for 9 from one over to underline her all-round prowess yet again. She is now just five short of her highest tally with the bat in a T20 World Cup.

More often than not, Harmanpreet Kaur has been India's MVP against Australia in big games. But she has been a pale shadow of herself in this World Cup. In four games, she has scored just 85 runs at a strike rate of 106.25 and is yet to hit a six. Can she find her mojo back when India need her the most?

Weather and conditions

In the only match Lord's has hosted so far this World Cup, England posted 186 for 7 and then restricted West Indies to 148 for 5. On Sunday, the weather is expected to be partly cloudy with the temperature hovering around 25°C during both games.